Este artículo también está disponible en español.
The Bitcoin price has long been celebrated for its explosive growth during bull market periods. However, its cyclic nature, which consists of both a bull and a bear market, often leaves many market watchers unprepared for inevitable crashes. If history is any guide, a crypto analyst predictsthat Bitcoin will skyrocket to a new price peakin 2025 and hit the end of the road after crashing to $50,000 in 2026.
Despite the anticipated bull run in 2025, historical data suggests that Bitcoin could soon experience a significant market correction. TradingView analyst Xanrox said in a recent report that BTC’s price will crashto $50,000 in 2026. Analyst Calls For BTC Price Crash To $50,000 The analyst explained that statistically, Bitcoin’s price tends to crash by 77% to 86% every four years. Moreover, his predicted price declineto $50,000 aligns with past bull cycle patterns, where Bitcoin sheds substantial value after every bull run. Related Reading Bitcoin Price Aims For $150,000-$170,000 With Wave Formation, Here Are The Details 4 days ago
Presenting a chart, the analyst highlighted the estimated durations of the Bitcoin bull and bear market. He disclosed that the bull market often lasts between 742 and 1,065 days, while the bear market typically lasts 344 to 413 days. BTC heading to $50,000 in 2026 | Source: Xanrox on Tradingview
Although previous cycles saw Bitcoin correcting to severe levels, Xanrox suggests that this upcoming crash will be much weaker due to the market’s maturing structure and the involvement of institutions. He predicts that Bitcoin will plummet by 65%, leaving many investors at a loss when they sell at low prices. Nevertheless, the TradingView analyst asserts that the downturn could present a potential buying opportunityfor investors who understand the cyclical nature of the Bitcoin market.
Xanrox confirmed that the market is in the final stage of the 4-year bull cycle, which should end between February and November 2025. The analyst forecasts Bitcoin’s next market topat $125,000 in 2025, after which the price crash to $50,000 is expected by 2026.
Consequently, he advises investors and traders to consider selling their holdingsas the price approaches the peak and to ignore “moon boys” who propose unrealistic targets of $500,000 or $1 million for BTC. He also asserts that a surge to these ambitious targets was near impossible, as it would require an enormous market capitalization for Bitcoin. How The Bitcoin Halving Influences Market Prices
According to Xanrox’s chart analysis, Bitcoin price trendshave consistently followed a 4-year halving cycle, which is a historical event for the crypto market. During each halving period, the block reward for miners is cut in half, reducing the number of new BTC entering the circulation. Related Reading Analyst Says Bitcoin Price Could Retest Substantially Below $100,000 If This Level Fails 1 week ago
The TradingView analyst disclosed that investors well versed in Bitcoin halving patternsand prepared for the projected cyclic crash would be well positioned to capitalize on his projected crash to $50,000. These investors would see a Bitcoin decline as an “incredible investment opportunity, maximizing profits on funding fees as they short Bitcoin at the top.
Unsurprisingly, Xanrox’s projected drop to $50,000 aligns with the typical bear market periodthat follows a BTC price peak. Historically, each 4-year halving cycle has included both a bull run and a bear market, with the latter signaling that the cycle is ending. BTC trading at $99,210 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com