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The Correction of May

saske34 - 2026-05-25 11:47:03

May is one of the most important months in Bitcoin market history.

Because this is the month when long-term spot traders invest and eventually profit. Meanwhile, many small retail traders make the mistake of selling a truly secure and valuable asset like Bitcoin during this period. And it is precisely those sold Bitcoins that long-term spot holders accumulate to begin or strengthen their journey.


Sounds confusing?

Let’s dive deeper.




What Is a Correction?


“Correction” is an extremely important term in the Bitcoin market. It is also commonly known as a market “downtrend.” Interestingly, this correction has two other famous names:



  • Fear

  • The Perfect Entry


Now the question is:

For whom is it a “downtrend,” and for whom is it a “healthy correction” or the “perfect entry”?


As we know, long-term spot holders — often referred to as whales — see corrections as healthy opportunities and perfect entry zones. Since they are spot investors, they are not afraid of short-term pumps and dumps. Instead, they use the DCA (Dollar Cost Averaging) strategy to accumulate more Bitcoin as the market falls. The lower the market goes, the cheaper they can buy.


And since Bitcoin’s value will never realistically become zero — because it is considered a form of digital gold — every major correction eventually recovers and moves toward breaking new ATHs (All-Time Highs).


On the other hand, most retail traders are involved in futures and leverage trading. Because of this, they fear these small market fluctuations. Their positions often get liquidated, and to avoid losing their entire account balance, they panic-sell their Bitcoin at a loss.


Ironically, these market movements are often influenced by whales themselves. Although there are other factors involved, Bitcoin, being decentralized, is not fundamentally controlled by wars, politics, or centralized pressure. What truly happens is a transfer of Bitcoin from weak hands to strong hands.


In other words, most corrections are simply:


“Weak hands to strong hands transitions.”


That is why, in reality, Bitcoin’s long-term market structure has never truly died and likely never will. Its overall trajectory remains upward.


Bitcoin is so secure that even during times of war or financial instability, it remains one of the most reliable assets for value transfer. Physical gold can be seized, restricted, or controlled. But Bitcoin, as decentralized digital gold, cannot easily be stopped or controlled.




Bitcoin Market Situation in May


According to current on-chain data for May:



  • Bitcoin started the month around $78,552.21

  • In the second week, it moved to approximately $82,175.13

  • During the third week, it dropped to around $77,486.65

  • And in the fourth week, it hovered near $76,649


At the same time, the Fear & Greed Index stands at 38, which falls into the “Fear” zone. This indicates that retail traders are preparing for panic selling.


Meanwhile, Whale Alert data shows that large amounts of USDT and USDC are flowing from whale wallets into exchanges. This suggests that whales are preparing to buy while retail traders panic-sell into the market.


As panic selling increases, Bitcoin supply temporarily rises in the market — allowing whales to accumulate Bitcoin at cheaper prices before moving it back into cold wallets.


Additionally:



  • Average Crypto RSI: 50.16

  • Personal RSI: 44.98


These values indicate the possibility of further short-term downside movement.


At the same time, the 200-week Moving Average is positioned around $61,371.95, acting as a strong support zone.


Analysts are also supporting this theory.


Michael Saylor has stated that Bitcoin is likely bottoming near the $60K zone and could move upward from there. He also mentioned that ETF inflows are continuously absorbing Bitcoin supply from the market.


Similarly, researchers from Bernstein believe that Bitcoin could find strong support near $60K before beginning another recovery phase.


Their arguments are mainly based on:



  • Large institutions are accumulating Bitcoin around the $60K range

  • This is not a full bear market, but rather a bullish correction

  • Once the correction ends, Bitcoin could retest and break a new ATH




So, What Did We Learn?


The Personal RSI around 44, Average Crypto RSI near 50, the 200-week Moving Average around $60K, and analysts’ support theories all point toward one possible outcome:


A Healthy Correction Before a New ATH Breakout


The Fear & Greed Index suggests that retail traders are panic selling, while Whale Alert data indicates that whales are injecting massive amounts of stablecoins into exchanges — meaning big players are preparing to buy.


At the same time, the 200 MA continues acting as a strong support zone around the $60K region, supporting analysts’ expectations.


So there is no reason for unnecessary fear.


For traders who remain patient in the spot market, long-term profitability remains highly possible.




My Advice


I would strongly request retail traders — especially futures and leverage traders — to consider moving toward the spot market.


Today, many people are not buying Bitcoin itself; instead, they are simply gambling on its price movement in hopes of becoming rich quickly.


But the era of paper currency may not last forever.


By focusing only on futures and leverage trading, people are choosing short-term speculation over owning real digital assets. While this may bring temporary profits, it could create massive long-term losses.


And gambling rarely creates lasting wealth. More often, it destroys financial stability.


Many companies and advertisements lure traders into leveraged platforms, profit from their losses, and then use that money to accumulate Bitcoin into their own cold wallets — ultimately becoming owners of massive wealth.


Meanwhile, ordinary people invest their money but still fail to own the actual valuable asset itself: Bitcoin.


Bitcoin may become one of the most valuable assets of the future.


Why?

That is a discussion for another day.




Final Words


Move toward the spot market.

Flow with the whales instead of fighting them.

And most importantly:


Make sure your wealth truly belongs to you.