Reason to trust Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed The highest standards in reporting and publishing How Our News is Made Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality Ad discliamer Morbi pretium leo et nisl aliquam mollis. Quisque arcu lorem, ultricies quis pellentesque nec, ullamcorper eu odio. Bitcoin price is currently at a critical juncture, sitting right on top of the Bull Market Support Band. Throughout past bull cycles, this band has historically served as a crucial support level, with price retesting it during corrections and bouncing off it to continue its upward trend. Why This Level Matters For Bitcoin Uptrend
In an X post, full-time crypto trader and investor, Daan Crypto Trades, has pointed out that Bitcoin is currently sitting directly on top of the Bull Market SupportBand. This level has long been regarded as one of the most reliable high-timeframe momentum indicators. Related Reading Bitcoin Holds Key Support Amid Gravestone Doji – $120,000 Hangs In Balance 1 day ago
Daan Crypto Trades noted that while Bitcoin has seen short-termconsolidation at or even slightly below this band, it has never experienced a prolonged detachment for more than a week or two during a bull market. BTC finds crucial support at the bull market band | Source: Chart from Daan Crypto Trades on X
The broader market structureremains intact as long as Bitcoin continues to print higher highs and higher lows on the larger timeframe. However, any subsequent dips that occur while this structural integrity is maintained are generally seen as areas of interest and potential buying opportunities for investors. The Role Of Liquidity In Driving Bitcoin’s Next Move
Bitcoin is showing the first bearish divergence against the Global M2 Money supplysince the cycle lows began, and signaling a potential slowdown in momentum. Accordingto Saint Pump, a market expert, a one-month liquidity pullback is expected in late September, coinciding with the Federal Reserve (Fed) anticipated rate cut amid job weakness. Related Reading Bitcoin Finds Crucial Support On Bull Market Band — Will Momentum Hold 25 minutes ago
This confluence of a bearish technical signal and a macroeconomic liquidity event suggeststhat BTC’s recent poor price action since July and divergence with global liquidity will continue leading to a period of choppy price action. In addition, there will be volatile trading until global liquidity conditions improve in late October. Adding to the short-term pressure, October also marks the expected end of the four-year cycle, which historically brings additional selling activity.
Despite these headwinds, no major cycle top or euphoria signals are evident. Saint Pump noted that the TrumpAdministration may unleash a monetary bazooka through a Fed takeover to stimulate the economy ahead of the midterms. As a result, this cycle could extend into late 2026, until Inflation fears resurface once the Fed overdoes it due to political pressures.
From a technical perspective, the best bid scenario in a sell-off lies between $93,000 and $98,000, aligning with a retest of the weekly 55 Exponential Moving Average (EMA), which has sustained the bull trend since last year. While short-term volatility is expected, the broader uptrend remains structurally sound. BTC trading at $112,063 on the 1D chart | Source: BTCUSDT on Tradingview.com Featured image from Pixabay, chart from Tradingview.com