William Suberg5 hours agoBitcoin price fails $38.5K breakout as US GDP fuels Fed hard-landing woesBTC price encounters classic resistance as sellers refuse to let Bitcoin crack through its November ceiling.2094 Total views6 Total sharesListen to article 0:00Market UpdateJoin us on social networksBitcoin (BTC) shrank back from resistance after the Nov. 29 Wall Street open as United States gross domestic product (GDP) figures beat expectations.BTC/USD 1-hour chart. Source: TradingViewGDP sets tone for macro-sensitive crypto
Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed a familiar BTC price retracement on short timeframes.
Bitcoin bulls had managed to propel the market above $38,000 the day prior, only to flip-flop around that level before ultimately dropping as U.S. macro data hit.
This showed Q3 GDP accelerating beyond anticipated levels, coming in at 5.2% versus 4.9%.
This renewed concerns over how the United States Federal Reserve might handle policy ahead of an interest rates decision in mid-December.
“5.2% is the final reading, it will mark the highest GDP growth since Q4 2022,” financial commentary resource The Kobeissi Letter wrote in part of a reaction on X (formerly Twitter.)“Can the Fed achieve a soft landing?”U.S. GDP percentage change chart (screenshot). Source: U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
Kobeissi referenced words from Bill Ackman, founder and CEO and founder of hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management, who the day prior had gone on record to predict a Fed rate pivot as soon as Q1, 2024.
“Yesterday, Bill Ackman bet on a hard landing with rate cuts beginning in Q1. Currently, futures don’t see rate cuts beginning until June 2024,” it continued.
Data from CME Group’s FedWatch Tool showed marginally increasing bets on a further hike in December following the GDP release, with further key data due on Nov. 30. The odds of a hike stood at 4.2% at the time of writing versus 0.5% previously.Fed target rate probabilities chart. Source: CME GroupAnalyst: Bitcoin is a buy below $35,000
Bitcoin, meanwhile, continued acting in a familiar style from recent days.
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Bulls still failed to crack a key resistance zone beginning at $38,500, despite some being confident that an assault on $40,000 would ultimately result.
“No HH or breakout confirmation yet, eyeing a sweep of $37.3K area & HL setup for the HH,” popular trader Skew told X followers, referring to a “higher high” being required.$BTC 4H
No HH or breakout confirmation yet, eyeing a sweep of $37.3K area & HL setup for the HH https://t.co/VDSl43g7Hh pic.twitter.com/wwGTTegxlM— Skew Δ (@52kskew) November 29, 2023
Fellow trader Daan Crypto Trades suggested that a period of flatter BTC price performance could now enter before a fresh bout of upside volatility.
“Price took out some liquidity above and below,” he commented about the day’s events.“Would not surprise me to see some more sideways chop for both sides to build up more positions before the next bigger move.”BTC/USDT liquidity map for Binance. Source: Daan Crypto Trades/X
An accompanying chart showed liquidity for the BTC/USDT pair on Binance, the largest global exchange.
Eyeing potential downside opportunities, Michaël van de Poppe, founder and CEO of trading firm MN Trading, flagged a range between $33,000 and $35,000 — already a popular zone based on liquidity.
“Markets are consolidating. Giving opportunities, still no breakout of Bitcoin above $38K,” his latest X analysis read.“If we continue to make higher lows, higher highs, a breakout seems to be happening soon. Structure lost? Buying at $33-35K.”
This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.# Bitcoin# Federal Reserve# Bitcoin Price# MarketsAdd reactionAdd reactionRead moreFutures will be the best crypto game in town even after a Bitcoin spot ETFBitcoin NFT marketplace Bioniq eyes lofty goal of alleviating network congestionWhy is Bitcoin price up today?